Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN TOUR 10 - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena Trier (Trier)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Nathan Aspinall		Martin Lukeman

	1	2
	1.4	3
	1.4	2.75
	1.38	2.95
	1.38	2.8
	1.4	3.02
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.82
	1.39	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	2.89 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
67.4%

Martin Lukeman
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Martin Lukeman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Lukeman than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Nathan Aspinall - Martin Lukeman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Lukeman could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aspinall will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
03.06.23	Jeff Smith - Nathan Aspinall	6:2 ✺
02.06.23	Nathan Aspinall - Matthew Campbell	6:4 ✺
28.05.23	Ross Smith - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
28.05.23	Nathan Aspinall - Madars Razma	6:4 ✺
27.05.23	Nathan Aspinall - Jose Oliveira De Sousa	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- Martin Lukeman
Darts
30.06.23	Graham Hall - Martin Lukeman	4:6 ✺
13.06.23	Martin Lukeman - Jeff Smith	6:4 ✺
20.05.23	Gerwyn Price - Martin Lukeman	6:2 ✺
13.05.23	Nathan Aspinall - Martin Lukeman	6:4 ✺
12.05.23	Martin Lukeman - Patrik Kovacs	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.05.23	Nathan Aspinall - Martin Lukeman	6:4
07.10.22	Nathan Aspinall - Martin Lukeman	3:2 best of 5 sets

Nathan Aspinall - Martin Lukeman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide