Match Info

European Tour 6 - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Glaspalast (Sindelfingen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nathan Aspinall		Niels Zonneveld

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.48	2.37
	1.51	2.57
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.54	2.4
	1.48	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)	2.54 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
63.2%

Niels Zonneveld
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Niels Zonneveld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels Zonneveld than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Nathan Aspinall - Niels Zonneveld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 8. Zonneveld is ranked World Ranking: 46.

Aspinall is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zonneveld is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aspinall might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aspinall won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
01.05.25	Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
01.05.25	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	6:3 ✺
26.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Kevin Doets	2:6 ✺
24.04.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	6:3 ✺
17.04.25	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Niels Zonneveld
Darts
02.05.25	Ryan Searle - Niels Zonneveld	1:6 ✺
21.04.25	Ryan Joyce - Niels Zonneveld	6:4 ✺
20.04.25	James Wade - Niels Zonneveld	2:6 ✺
19.04.25	Daryl Gurney - Niels Zonneveld	3:6 ✺
08.04.25	Niels Zonneveld - Jeffrey de Graaf	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.11.24	Nathan Aspinall - Niels Zonneveld	3:6

Nathan Aspinall - Niels Zonneveld: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide