Match Info

European Tour 4 - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Zenith (Munich)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Ryan Joyce		Michael Van Gerwen

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.39	1.47
	2.53	1.45	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.39	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.62)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Joyce
37.2%

Michael Van Gerwen
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Joyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Joyce than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Ryan Joyce - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Joyce is ranked World Ranking: 27. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3.

Joyce in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Van Gerwen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Joyce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Gerwen will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Van Gerwen to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Joyce won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:20 (average 3.8:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Joyce
Darts
21.04.25	Ryan Joyce - Niels Zonneveld	6:4 ✺
20.04.25	Damon Heta - Ryan Joyce	0:6 ✺
19.04.25	Ryan Joyce - Andras Borbely	6:1 ✺
31.03.25	Ryan Joyce - Cameron Crabtree	6:3 ✺
23.03.25	Ryan Joyce - Michael Van Gerwen	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
21.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Searle	6:1 ✺
20.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Kim Huybrechts	6:5 ✺
17.04.25	Stephen Bunting - Michael Van Gerwen	6:5 ✺
15.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Owen Bates	6:3 ✺
10.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.03.25	Ryan Joyce - Michael Van Gerwen	7:5
12.11.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	4:5
29.12.18	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	5:1 best of 5 sets
30.06.18	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	6:2 best of 11 legs

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