Match Info

European Tour 15 - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: MECC Maastricht (Maastricht)


	Wessel Nijman		Jeffrey de Graaf

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.38	2.95
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.38	2.90
	1.37	2.85
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	2.92 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wessel Nijman
68%

Jeffrey de Graaf
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wessel Nijman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Jeffrey de Graaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeffrey de Graaf than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Wessel Nijman - Jeffrey de Graaf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Nijman is ranked World Ranking: 12., and de Graaf is ranked World Ranking: 43..

In recent outings, Nijman has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

de Graaf is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nijman could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Nijman for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Wessel Nijman - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.35%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wessel Nijman
Darts
10.10.26	Wessel Nijman - Karel Sedlacek	4:6 ✺
30.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Wessel Nijman	3:1 ✺
28.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Robert Cross	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	James Wade - Wessel Nijman	10:7 ✺
18.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Simon Whitlock	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Jeffrey de Graaf
Darts
16.10.26	Jeffrey de Graaf - Michael Mansell	6:3 ✺
11.10.26	Jeffrey de Graaf - Bradley Brooks	3:6 ✺
10.10.26	Stephen Bunting - Jeffrey de Graaf	4:6 ✺
09.10.26	Jeffrey de Graaf - Sietse Lap	6:4 ✺
22.09.26	Jeffrey de Graaf - Mervyn King	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wessel Nijman
Darts
18.10.26	Niels Zonneveld - Wessel Nijman	✺
18.10.26	Wessel Nijman - Cristo Reyes	✺

Wessel Nijman - Jeffrey de Graaf: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide