Match Info

Inssi-Divari

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Josba Joensuu		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	1.75	5.1	3.01
	1.75	5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	5.05 ↑ (5)	3.06 ↑ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josba Joensuu
52.1%

Draw
18.1%

SaiPa
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

17.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

19.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josba Joensuu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josba Joensuu than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:42, Miettinen V. (G), Korhonen E. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:22, Kosonen M. (G), Karjalainen T. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
00:53, Kiiskinen J. (G), Vallius N. (A),
17:25, Naakka F. (G), Kosonen M. (A),
19:24, Miettinen V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Josba won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Josba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Josba will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Josba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 60:66. (average 4.3:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Josba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 4.5:3.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
14	Josba	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	19:20	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josba Joensuu
Finnish Divari
24.01.26	O2-Jyväskylä - Josba Joensuu	6:3 ✺
18.01.26	Josba Joensuu - Koovee Tampere	7:6 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Josba Joensuu - Karhut	2:9 ✺
11.01.26	M-Team - Josba Joensuu	5:6 OT ✺
10.01.26	Pirkat - Josba Joensuu	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL
- SaiPa Salibandy
Finnish Divari
24.01.26	SaiPa - Tiikerit	4:3 ✺
18.01.26	SaiPa - Karhut	4:7 ✺
11.01.26	SaiPa - Nibacos Kokkola	5:4 penalties ✺
10.01.26	O2-Jyväskylä - SaiPa	7:1 ✺
04.01.26	Karhut - SaiPa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Divari
26.10.24	Josba Joensuu - SaiPa	7:5
03.12.23	SaiPa - Josba Joensuu	3:1
16.09.23	Josba Joensuu - SaiPa	3:4
18.12.22	SaiPa - Josba Joensuu	9:3
06.11.22	Josba Joensuu - SaiPa	4:5 penalties
Finnish F-Liiga
10.04.22	Josba Joensuu - SaiPa	3:2
09.04.22	SaiPa - Josba Joensuu	7:5

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