Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Atyrau		Ayat

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.52	2.91	Watch
	1.87	4.6	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	4.56 ↑ (4.52)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
48.7%

Draw
19.9%

Ayat
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

20.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ayat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atyrau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayat than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atyrau - Ayat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 4-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Ayat has had a series of away games.

Atyrau might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 70:73. (average 3.5:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 3.7:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Ayat	8	6	1	1	41:21	19
4	Atyrau	8	5	1	2	28:22	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFC Atyrau
Kazakh Championship Futsal
23.05.26	Ayat - Atyrau	3:4 ✺
17.05.26	Astana - Atyrau	4:3 ✺
16.05.26	Astana - Atyrau	4:3 ✺
28.04.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW
- MFC Ayat
Kazakh Championship Futsal
23.05.26	Ayat - Atyrau	3:4 ✺
17.05.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Ayat	7:6 ✺
16.05.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Ayat	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Astana - Ayat	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Astana - Ayat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Championship Futsal
23.05.26	Ayat - Atyrau	3:4
16.03.26	Atyrau - Ayat	4:1
15.03.26	Atyrau - Ayat	4:3
13.11.25	Ayat - Atyrau	4:3
12.11.25	Ayat - Atyrau	3:0
05.04.25	Atyrau - Ayat	4:2
04.04.25	Atyrau - Ayat	5:5

Atyrau - Ayat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide