Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Jaén Paraíso Interior

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.7	1.95
	3.57	4.7	1.69	Watch
	3.6	4.55	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.28)	4.65 ↑ (4.35)	1.75 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
27.7%

Draw
19.8%

Jaén Paraíso Interior
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

21.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castell de Peñiscola's form might have worsened.

Jaén Paraíso Interior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaén Paraíso Interior's recent form is better than expected.

Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Jaén (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Jaén (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaén (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gus (G)	1. Espindola C. (G)
18. Elias	17. Bynho
14. Perez V.	15. Lemine A.
5. Plaza A.	3. Raggiati A.
23. Quintela D.	41. Rosa M.
Substitutes
16. Araya B.	14. Brandi A.
7. Ferreira M.	28. Dudu (G)
6. Flores L.	4. Esteban
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	33. Mareco J.
10. Juanico	21. Michel
9. Juanqui	8. Rikelme
4. Pardo C.	11. Rojas E.
49. Rocha L.	5. Salla J.
11. Saladie C.	55. Serrano Luque C. R.
20. Sancho D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Plaza A. 🟨,
15', Quintela D. (G),
19', Brandi A. 🟨,
20', Gus 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
34', Rosa M. (G),
34', Michel 🟨,
34', Brandi A. 🟨,
35', Salla J. (G),
35', Sancho D. (G),
40', Sancho D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 1.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 53:61. (average 2.7:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 2.7:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.09.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:1 ✺
10.09.25	Castell de Peñiscola - O Parrulo	3:4 ✺
07.09.25	Xota - Castell de Peñiscola	5:4 ✺
04.06.25	Castell de Peñiscola - ElPozo Murcia	2:3 ✺
01.06.25	ElPozo Murcia - Castell de Peñiscola	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jaén Paraíso Interior
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.09.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Inter	3:1 ✺
09.09.25	Noia - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Valdepeñas	4:5 ✺
04.06.25	Barcelona Alusport - Jaén Paraíso Interior	4:0 ✺
01.06.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Barcelona Alusport	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
03.05.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Castell de Peñiscola	3:2
28.12.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior	3:1
20.04.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2
18.11.23	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Castell de Peñiscola	3:2
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
30.11.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:3
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
08.05.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2
12.12.20	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Castell de Peñiscola	2:2

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