Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Manzanares

	1	X	2
	1.9	5.2	2.8
	1.98	5.20	2.51	Watch
	2.04	4.7	2.62	Watch
	1.95	4.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	4.9 (4.9)	2.63 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
46.5%

Draw
18.7%

Manzanares
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

18.8%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

22.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Manzanares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castell de Peñiscola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manzanares than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manzanares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	12. Navarro A. (G)
18. Elias	4. Escribano T.
6. Flores L.	9. Garcia D.
14. Perez V.	23. Humberto
23. Quintela D.	22. Khalid
Substitutes
16. Araya B.	7. Alonso J.
7. Ferreira M.	10. Antonito
22. Gus (G)	18. Bule Javi (G)
10. Juanico	30. Campos R.
9. Juanqui	99. Emilio J.
19. Munoz P.	17. Gholami M.
4. Pardo C.	21. Pires D.
21. Rosental N.	8. Robles P.
11. Saladie C.
20. Sancho D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', Juanqui (G),
13', Alonso J. (G),
17', Alonso J. (G),
2nd Half (4 - 4)
25', Garcia D. (G),
26', Humberto (G),
26', Rosental N. (G),
27', (G),
35', Elias (G),
36', Alonso J. (G),
38', Antonito (G),
39', Juanqui (G),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Peñiscola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:14. (average 4.8:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 4:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
12.10.25	Alzira - Castell de Peñiscola	4:6 ✺
03.10.25	Palma Futsal - Castell de Peñiscola	4:3 ✺
27.09.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:1 ✺
10.09.25	Castell de Peñiscola - O Parrulo	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL
- Manzanares FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
11.10.25	Manzanares - ElPozo Murcia	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Manzanares	1:6 ✺
28.09.25	Manzanares - Palma Futsal	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ribera Navarra - Manzanares	3:4 ✺
10.09.25	Santa Coloma - Manzanares	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.02.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Manzanares	3:1
11.10.24	Manzanares - Castell de Peñiscola	4:8
25.02.24	Manzanares - Castell de Peñiscola	3:3
14.10.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Manzanares	5:6

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