Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 27

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Inter

	1	X	2
	3	4.75	1.62
	3.25	5.2	1.68
	3.97	5.10	1.54	Watch
	3.24	5.1	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.97)	5.04 ↓ (5.1)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
26.8%

Draw
17.9%

Inter
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

17.9%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

24.7%

81.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Inter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castell de Peñiscola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter than the current prediction. (+26.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castell de Peñiscola - Inter Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Perez G. (G)	1. Herrero J. (C)
16. Araya B.	6. Gomez R.
18. Elias (C)	7. Harrison
14. Perez V.	10. Minguez J.
23. Quintela D.	11. Paniagua
Substitutes
1. Acosta L.	18. Barona Segura S.
7. Ferreira M.	20. Bartolome C.
6. Flores L.	2. Cecilio
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	5. Chaguinha
19. Munoz P.	27. Garcia J. (G)
5. Plaza A.	17. Pirata
11. Saladie C.	8. Raya J.
20. Sancho D.	14. Rubio
	22. Sego

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Inter Movistar is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 46:88. (average 2.3:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 1.9:3.7).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Inter	5	2	1	2	15:15	7
11	Peniscola	4	1	1	2	12:16	4

Last Results with these Odds

Castell de Peñiscola - the odds 3.97 are the expected chance of winning is 22.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
25.04.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	O Parrulo - Castell de Peñiscola	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Córdoba - Castell de Peñiscola	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Palma Futsal	7:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLLWW
- Inter FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
24.04.26	Inter - Xota	7:0 ✺
18.04.26	Santa Coloma - Inter	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Inter - O Parrulo	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cartagena - Inter	4:2 ✺
Spanish Cup Futsal
21.03.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Inter	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.12.25	Inter - Castell de Peñiscola	3:3
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
17.05.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Inter	1:3
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.03.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Inter	2:1
20.11.24	Inter - Castell de Peñiscola	6:0
15.03.24	Inter - Castell de Peñiscola	6:4
04.11.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Inter	1:5
13.03.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Inter	4:3

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