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Current Win Probability
Fakel-GTS Surgut 24.3%
Draw 18.7%
IrAero Irkutsk 57%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
18.7%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
22.9%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel-GTS Surgut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for IrAero Irkutsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel-GTS Surgut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IrAero Irkutsk than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IrAero Irkutsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fakel GTS Surgut - IrAero Irkutsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
21', Mustafin D. (G), Emelyanov M. (A),
22', Rodin D. (G),
25', Emelyanov M. (G), Tokhtarov D. (A),
26', Nando (G), Vieira B. (A),
28', Emelyanov M. (G), Emelyanov N. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Fakel-GTS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Fakel-GTS has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, IrAero is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Fakel-GTS has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:27 (averaging 4.1:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fakel-GTS against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:12 goals (averaging 4.2:2 per game).
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