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Current Win Probability
Sibiryak 18.3%
Draw 15.9%
IrAero Irkutsk 65.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.6%
16.4%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
18.7%
56%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sibiryak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
IrAero Irkutsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibiryak than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IrAero Irkutsk than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IrAero Irkutsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sibiryak - IrAero Irkutsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
4', Ivanov M. (G), Salnikov D. (A),
14', Nando (G), Edson Santos (A),
14', Salnikov D. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
24', Akbalikov A. (G), Salnikov D. (A),
25', Tuzyuk I. (G), Cheranev A. (A),
31', Oshchepkov N. (Own Goal),
37', Rodin D. (G), Sitnikov A. (A),
40', Nando (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibiryak won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Sibiryak (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by IrAero have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sibiryak may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to IrAero for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Sibiryak has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:30 (averaging 2.9:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sibiryak against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:16 goals (averaging 3.4:3.2 per game).
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