Match Info

SuperLiga

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Fakel-GTS Surgut		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	4.99	5.4	1.4	Watch
	5	5.4	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↑ (4.43)	5.4 ↑ (5.15)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel-GTS Surgut
18.2%

Draw
16.8%

Norilsk
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

17.6%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

18.5%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norilsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fakel GTS Surgut - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
1', Shakiev S. A. O. (G),
2', Shakiev S. A. O. (G),
14', Teixeira (G),
20', Teixeira (G),
20', Shakirov R. (G), Lyalin A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
37', Shakiev S. A. O. (G), Teixeira (A),
37', Teixeira (G), Shakiev S. A. O. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 2.

Recent performances by Fakel-GTS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norilsky Nickel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Norilsky Nickel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fakel-GTS has had a series of away games.

In this match, Norilsky Nickel is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 2.1:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel-GTS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 3.3:3.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Norilsk	14	7	1	1	5	54:52	24
7	Surgut	14	5	2	1	6	40:49	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel-GTS Surgut
Russian Super Liga Futsal
13.09.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	0:4 ✺
07.09.26	TZMS Tula - Fakel-GTS Surgut	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	TZMS Tula - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:5 ✺
30.08.26	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWWWL
- FK Norilsk
Russian Super Liga Futsal
13.09.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Norilsk - IrAero Irkutsk	3:6 ✺
05.09.26	Norilsk - IrAero Irkutsk	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	MFK Tyumen - Norilsk	5:6 ✺
28.08.26	MFK Tyumen - Norilsk	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
13.09.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	0:4
01.03.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	5:4 penalties
28.02.26	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	5:3
Russian Cup Futsal
09.12.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Norilsk	3:4
30.11.25	Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	4:1
Russian Super Liga Futsal
01.10.25	Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:1
30.09.25	Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:0

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