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Current Win Probability
Norilsk 31.3%
Draw 20.3%
TTG-Yugra Yugorsk 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
20%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
24.5%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
TTG-Yugra Yugorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norilsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TTG-Yugra Yugorsk than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TTG-Yugra Yugorsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Norilsk - TTG Yugra Yugorsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
7', (G),
13', (G),
14', (G),
20', (G),
2nd Half (4 - 3)
22', (G),
25', (G),
26', (G),
28', (G),
30', (G),
35', (G),
39', (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2.
In recent outings, Norilsk has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
TTG-Yugra is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
TTG-Yugra could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, TTG-Yugra has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Norilsk has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:56 (averaging 2.7:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Norilsk against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 30:33 goals (averaging 2.7:3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Yugra
14
12
0
1
1
75:28
37
4
Norilsk
14
7
1
1
5
54:52
24
Last Results with these Odds
TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.91%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.