Match Info
Liga Placard - Round 14Date: 27 December 2025, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
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 |
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Famalicão |
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Quinta dos Lombos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
1.89 |
|
 |
2.39 |
5.32 |
2.08 |
Watch |
 |
3 |
4.5 |
1.84 |
|
 |
2.85 |
5 |
1.78 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.79 ↑ (2.39) |
4.86 ↓ (5.32) |
1.9 ↓ (2.08) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Famalicão 32.9% | Draw 18.9% | Quinta dos Lombos 48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Famalicão's form might have worsened.Quinta dos Lombos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinta dos Lombos than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Famalicão - Quinta dos Lombos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4 
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Lineups
|
|---|
13. Amorim G.
| 10. Alves T.
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19. Babris M.
| 23. Costa D.
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22. Buzuzu
| 5. Cruz F.
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14. Carvalho C.
| 17. Dias M.
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59. Ciro
| 0. Domingues J.
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17. Costa J.
| 18. Ganhao D.
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6. Douglas Risi
| 20. Gita D.
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9. Gitahy A.
| 73. Kaka
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31. Guilherme Oliveira
| 9. Lima F.
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90. Moreira G.
| 1. Nunes P.
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1. Pereira P.
| 6. Pereira P.
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21. Pereira R.
| 11. Silva T.
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10. Ruizinho
| 12. Sobral G.
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7. Vieira R.
| 22. Sousa P.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 2)
- 1', Costa J. (G),
- 4', Pereira R. (G),
- 4', Kaka (G),
- 7', Buzuzu (G),
- 8', Babris M. (G),
- 10', Pereira R. 🟨,
- 11', Ganhao D. (G),
- 12', Carvalho C. 🟨,
- 12', Guilherme Oliveira 🟨,
- 18', Ruizinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 28', Dias M. (G),
- 31', Sobral G. (G),
- 35', Ciro 🟨,
- 39', Babris M. 🟨,
- 40', Douglas Risi 🟨,
Preview
Famalicão is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Quinta dos Lombos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. We predict that Quinta dos Lombos will win today's game, with odds of 2.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;