Match Info
Liga Nacional - Round 10Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Jaén Paraíso Interior |
|
Cartagena |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.8 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.80 |
5.47 |
1.80 |
 Watch |
 |
1.78 |
4.4 |
3.21 |
Watch |
 |
1.72 |
5 |
3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.79) |
4.84 ↓
(5) |
2.8 ↑
(1.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jaén Paraíso Interior
46.7% | Draw
19.5% | Cartagena
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaén Paraíso Interior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaén Paraíso Interior's performance.Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartagena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaén Paraíso Interior than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaén Paraíso Interior that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Jaén Paraíso Interior - Cartagena Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Jaén will win (votes: 7 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 1st Half - Jaén (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jaén Paraíso Interior will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaén (votes: 9 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Espindola C. (G)
| 1.  Chemi (G)
|
14.  Brandi A. (C)
| 7. Castejon G.
|
17.  Bynho
| 9. Gonzalez P.
|
21. Michel
| 14.  Motta G.
|
3. Raggiati A.
| 8. Tomaz F.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
28. Dudu (G)
| 6. Alonso C.
|
4. Esteban
| 22. Chispi (G)
|
33.  Mareco J.
| 23. Gil D.
|
8. Rikelme
| 19. Izquierdo J. (C)
|
10. Rojas E.
| 3. Juninho
|
41. Rosa M.
| 13. Mellado M.
|
5. Salla J.
| 20.  Osamanmusa M.
|
55. Serrano Luque C. R.
| |
6. Zurdo D.
| |
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Gil D. 🟨,
- 15', Michel (G),
- 15', Izquierdo J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Brandi A. 🟨,
- 26', Raggiati A. 🟨,
- 27', Salla J. 🟨,
- 35', Bynho 🟨,
- 35', Motta G. (G),
- 38', Castejon G. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2.Jaén has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Cartagena is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).Jaén may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Cartagena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 56:51. (average 2.8:2.6).Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 2.5:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Cartagena - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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