Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 29

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Jaén Paraíso Interior		Xota

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.25	4.75
	1.31	6.2	6
	1.37	5.82	5.19	Watch
	1.29	6.1	6.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)	5.84 ↑ (5.55)	5.53 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jaén Paraíso Interior
68.2%

Draw
15.4%

Xota
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

16.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

18%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaén Paraíso Interior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Xota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaén Paraíso Interior than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaén Paraíso Interior that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xota than the current prediction. (+3%)

Jaén Paraíso Interior - Xota Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Espindola C. (G)	1. Llamas A. (G)
14. Brandi A.	7. Cervino I.
17. Bynho	2. Geraghty A.
21. Michel	13. Korsun I.
3. Raggiati A.	12. Linhares
Substitutes
4. Esteban	21. Anjinho
7. Fernando	14. Cuello J.
15. Lemine A.	22. Iosu Z.
33. Mareco J.	23. Martinez F.
13. Montoro H. (G)	16. Ortas A.
8. Rikelme	10. Pachu
41. Rosa M.	97. Palazon A. (G)
5. Salla J.	9. Saldise D.
6. Zurdo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 🟨,
15', Anjinho (G),
20', Esteban (G),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
21', (G),
21', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
39', (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 4.

Jaén has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Xota is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jaén may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jaén is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 72:57. (average 3.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 3.9:2.4).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Jaen	5	5	0	0	21:11	15
16	Xota FS	5	0	0	5	4:29	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaén Paraíso Interior
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
02.05.26	Inter - Jaén Paraíso Interior	4:2 ✺
29.04.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - ElPozo Murcia	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Alzira - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Córdoba	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Palma Futsal - Jaén Paraíso Interior	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Xota FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.05.26	Xota - Ribera Navarra	4:1 ✺
28.04.26	Santa Coloma - Xota	3:2 ✺
24.04.26	Inter - Xota	7:0 ✺
18.04.26	Xota - Barcelona Alusport	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	Alzira - Xota	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
12.12.25	Xota - Jaén Paraíso Interior	1:2
15.03.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Xota	4:2
06.12.24	Xota - Jaén Paraíso Interior	5:5
01.03.24	Xota - Jaén Paraíso Interior	4:6
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
21.02.24	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Xota	4:3
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.10.23	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Xota	0:3
05.05.23	Xota - Jaén Paraíso Interior	4:5

Jaén Paraíso Interior - Xota: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide