Match Info
Serie A - Round 15Date: 10 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: PalaNeolรน (Mantova)
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Mantova |
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Capurso |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mantova 38.3% | Draw 19.6% | Capurso 42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mantova's performance.Capurso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Capurso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capurso than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Capurso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Tondi F. (G)
| 31. Micoli G. (G)
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2. Achilli S.
| 88. Grandinetti G.
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88. Carvalho A.
| 12. Lamas N.
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11. Mascherona M.
| 11. Perri J.
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10. Misael G.
| 7. Pires G.
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| Substitutes |
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19. Bernini T.
| 10. Dammacco V.
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25. Caique
| 20. Giannattasio D.
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14. Ceccatto
| 30. Guedes P.
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6. Deidda L. (G)
| 9. Ique
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5. Miquelussi L.
| 1. Lisco C. (G)
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15. Taurisano A.
| 33. Nitti M.
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. Wilde
| 19. Primavera N.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 6', Carvalho A. (G),
- 8', Mascherona M. 🟨,
- 9', Perri J. (G),
- 9', Perri J. 🟨,
- 12', Carvalho A. (G),
- 13', Pires G. (G),
- 19', Giannattasio D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 31', Carvalho A. (G),
- 34', Lamas N. (G),
- 40', Wilde 🟨,
- 40', Micoli G. 🟨,
- 40', Miquelussi L. 🟨,
Preview
Mantova has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Capurso is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Capurso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Capurso will hold a modest advantage in this match. We predict that Capurso will win today's game, with odds of 1.83. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 11 | Capurso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:33 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;