Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 8

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Noia		Castell de Peñiscola

	1	X	2
	2.29	4.9	2.28
	2.22	5.10	2.22	Watch
	2.24	4.6	2.24	Watch
	2.2	4.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	4.84 ↓ (5.1)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
40.6%

Draw
18.8%

Castell de Peñiscola
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

17.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

18.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schutt (G)	22. Gus (G)
16. Biel	18. Elias (C)
31. Churrasco	4. Pardo C.
77. Lemos R.	14. Perez V.
20. Pazos D. (C)	20. Sancho D.
Substitutes
7. Altamirano L.	16. Araya B.
11. Diego Favero	6. Flores L.
18. Douglas S.	12. Gonzalez G. (G)
26. Iván	10. Juanico
9. Leozin	9. Juanqui
24. Lopez I.	19. Munoz P.
10. Macedo T.	23. Quintela D.
5. Montero D.	21. Rosental N.
23. Thierry	11. Saladie C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Elias (G),
18', Lopez I. (G),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
21', Sancho D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Noia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 1.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noia FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
25.10.25	Ribera Navarra - Noia	6:4 ✺
20.10.25	Palma Futsal - Noia	11:6 ✺
11.10.25	Noia - Cartagena	4:3 ✺
03.10.25	Xota - Noia	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Noia - Valdepeñas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LLWWW
- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
26.10.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Manzanares	5:6 ✺
12.10.25	Alzira - Castell de Peñiscola	4:6 ✺
03.10.25	Palma Futsal - Castell de Peñiscola	4:3 ✺
27.09.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
19.02.25	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	2:5
16.11.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	2:0
02.03.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	5:3
18.10.23	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	2:5
Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
12.03.22	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	2:2
06.11.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	4:1

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