Match Info

HMNL - Round 8

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Novo Vrijeme Makarska		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	1.96	4.6	2.75
	1.99	5.38	2.51	Watch
	1.95	4.5	2.74
	1.9	5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.99)	4.87 ↓ (5.38)	2.65 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novo Vrijeme Makarska
46.8%

Draw
18.7%

Rijeka
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

17.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

14.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novo Vrijeme Makarska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Vrijeme Makarska than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novo Vrijeme Makarska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Novo Vrijeme has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rijeka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Novo Vrijeme won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Novo Vrijeme won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novo Vrijeme Makarska
Croatian 1 HMNL
30.11.25	Pula - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Vrgorac	5:2 ✺
15.11.25	Olmissum - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Osijek	3:3 ✺
UEFA Futsal Champions League
01.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Sporting Lisbon	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLTL
- HMNK Rijeka
Croatian 1 HMNL
29.11.25	Rijeka - Square Dubrovnik	9:6 ✺
21.11.25	Torcida Split - Rijeka	3:6 ✺
16.11.25	Pula - Rijeka	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Rijeka - Vrgorac	5:4 ✺
25.10.25	Olmissum - Rijeka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
18.01.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Rijeka	2:2
01.11.24	Rijeka - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	4:4

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