Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	O Parrulo		ElPozo Murcia

	1	X	2
	4.7	7	1.39
	4.29	5.26	1.48	Watch
	5.93	5.75	1.32	Watch
	7	5.5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (4.29)	5.88 ↑ (5.26)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

O Parrulo
16.8%

Draw
15.7%

ElPozo Murcia
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

17.3%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

20.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

O Parrulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ElPozo Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ElPozo Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for O Parrulo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for O Parrulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ElPozo Murcia than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ElPozo Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

O Parrulo - ElPozo Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Starna M. (G)	23. Henrique (G)
11. Diogo	16. Alvarez D.
6. Novoa	77. Dener
19. Orzaez R.	31. Gadeia
9. Vasallo G.	8. Ricardo
Substitutes
1. Berthod D. (G)	7. Alex Garcia
4. Cols X.	51. Bebe
12. Jhoy	19. Edu (G)
8. Jon	33. Ligeiro
10. Morgato	11. Marcel
77. Penezio	9. Rafa Santos
5. Rumbo I.	10. Ricardinho
14. Turbi
21. Vukmir N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Bebe (G),
12', Dener 🟨,
15', Bebe (Own Goal),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
23', Rafa Santos (G),
25', Diogo (G),
29', Penezio (G),
33', Marcel (G),
39', Marcel (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, O Parrulo won 2.

O Parrulo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ElPozo Murcia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, ElPozo Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, O Parrulo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 2.4:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, O Parrulo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 2.8:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Parrulo FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
25.10.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - O Parrulo	7:1 ✺
11.10.25	O Parrulo - Palma Futsal	4:2 ✺
04.10.25	Valdepeñas - O Parrulo	7:1 ✺
27.09.25	O Parrulo - Xota	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Barcelona Alusport - O Parrulo	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTL
- ElPozo Murcia
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
25.10.25	ElPozo Murcia - Xota	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Manzanares - ElPozo Murcia	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	ElPozo Murcia - Inter	5:3 ✺
27.09.25	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	ElPozo Murcia - Noia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.03.21	ElPozo Murcia - O Parrulo	4:4
25.02.21	O Parrulo - ElPozo Murcia	1:6
04.01.20	ElPozo Murcia - O Parrulo	6:1
14.09.19	O Parrulo - ElPozo Murcia	3:2
27.04.19	O Parrulo - ElPozo Murcia	3:1
15.12.18	ElPozo Murcia - O Parrulo	6:2
15.12.17	ElPozo Murcia - O Parrulo	5:1

O Parrulo - ElPozo Murcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide