Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Real Betis		Castell de Peñiscola

	1	X	2
	3.5	5.5	1.53
	3.4	4.75	1.6
	3.25	5	1.61
	3.4	5.5	1.55
	3.83	5	1.58
	3.55	5.4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.32)	5.19 ↑ (5.17)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Betis
25.7%

Draw
17.3%

Castell de Peñiscola
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

17.5%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

19.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Betis than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Real Betis - Castell de Peñiscola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Molina J. (G)	22. Gus (G)
99. Gustavao	10. Gauna L.
11. Jimenez R.	8. Paniagua
8. Lin	7. Pardo C.
23. Piqueras M.	20. Sancho D.
Substitutes
3. Diaz L. E.	6. Aicardo
20. Fernandez I.	9. Carlos J.
30. Garcia R. (G)	18. Elias
5. Lemine A.	2. Jose Mario
17. Lopez R.	29. Marksi Y.
12. Munoz P.	14. Perez V.
21. Pablo	5. Plaza A.
10. Povea C.	11. Saladie C.
14. Serrano R.	1. Starna M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Sancho D. (G),
14', Munoz P. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
22', Jimenez R. (G),
26', Gauna L. 🟨,
28', Sancho D. (G),
34', Munoz P. (G),
40', Carlos J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Betis won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Peñiscola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Peñiscola is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Betis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Betis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis Futsal
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
11.05.24	Real Betis - Alzira	3:3 ✺
04.05.24	Noia - Real Betis	4:2 ✺
26.04.24	Real Betis - Valdepeñas	3:5 ✺
19.04.24	Barcelona Alusport - Real Betis	2:4 ✺
05.04.24	Real Betis - Xota	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLLWT
- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
10.05.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Xota	7:2 ✺
28.04.24	Córdoba - Castell de Peñiscola	5:4 ✺
24.04.24	Palma Futsal - Castell de Peñiscola	5:5 ✺
20.04.24	Castell de Peñiscola - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
06.03.24	Real Betis - Castell de Peñiscola	0:6
22.10.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Real Betis	4:2
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
16.11.22	Castell de Peñiscola - Real Betis	6:2
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.05.21	Real Betis - Castell de Peñiscola	3:1
22.12.20	Castell de Peñiscola - Real Betis	2:4
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
12.02.20	Real Betis - Castell de Peñiscola	2:1

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