Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Santa Coloma		Jaén Paraíso Interior

	1	X	2
	3.35	5.2	1.67
	3.34	4.95	1.71	Watch
	3.48	4.85	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)	5 ↑ (4.95)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Coloma
27%

Draw
18.3%

Jaén Paraíso Interior
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

18.6%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

18.7%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Jaén Paraíso Interior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaén Paraíso Interior than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Santa Coloma - Jaén Paraíso Interior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)	1. Espindola C. (G)
11. Leandrinho	14. Brandi A. (C)
2. Povill	17. Bynho
12. Puigvert	21. Michel
3. Tolra M. (C)	3. Raggiati A.
Substitutes
24. Aldoma A.	4. Esteban
27. Bonillo I.	7. Fernando
18. Ferrer B.	15. Lemine A.
33. Harada K.	13. Montoro H. (G)
22. Joao Frezzato (G)	8. Rikelme
16. Leguizamon M.	10. Rojas E.
30. Manzanares Navarro P.	41. Rosa M.
28. Medina L.	5. Salla J.
29. Paterna Castelltort M.	6. Zurdo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Salla J. 🟨,
9', Puigvert 🟨,
16', Puigvert (G),
19', Zurdo D. 🟨,
20', Leandrinho (G),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
23', Harada K. 🟨,
26', Esteban 🟨,
26', Ferrer B. (G),
27', 🟨,
28', Brandi A. (G),
30', Rosa M. (G),
31', 🟥,
33', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
36', Puigvert (G),
38', Esteban (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Jaén may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jaén is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 48:72. (average 2.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Coloma won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 2.7:2.7).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Jaen	5	5	0	0	21:11	15
14	Ind. Santa Coloma	5	0	2	3	9:17	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.05.26	Palma Futsal - Santa Coloma	5:0 ✺
28.04.26	Santa Coloma - Xota	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Manzanares - Santa Coloma	4:6 ✺
21.04.26	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	7:3 ✺
18.04.26	Santa Coloma - Inter	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWLT
- Jaén Paraíso Interior
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
09.05.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Xota	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Inter - Jaén Paraíso Interior	4:2 ✺
29.04.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - ElPozo Murcia	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Alzira - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Córdoba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.11.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Santa Coloma	7:2
24.05.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Santa Coloma	6:2
20.11.24	Santa Coloma - Jaén Paraíso Interior	3:2
11.05.24	Santa Coloma - Jaén Paraíso Interior	5:2
09.12.23	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Santa Coloma	6:1
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
25.01.23	Santa Coloma - Jaén Paraíso Interior	1:5
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
20.01.23	Santa Coloma - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2

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