Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 16

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	ElPozo Murcia		Santa Coloma

	1	X	2
	1.23	7	7.4
	1.37	5.82	5.19	Watch
	1.23	6.75	7.17	Watch
	1.23	6.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)	6.52 ↑ (5.82)	6.69 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ElPozo Murcia
72.3%

Draw
14%

Santa Coloma
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

15.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

15.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ElPozo Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ElPozo Murcia's performance.

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ElPozo Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ElPozo Murcia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Edu (G)	22. Joao Frezzato (G)
7. Alex Garcia	7. Manzanares P.
31. Gadeia	10. Ramos V.
9. Rafa Santos	4. Santos U.
8. Ricardo	3. Tolra M.
Substitutes
51. Bebe	24. Aldoma A.
29. Cesar	17. Corso S.
77. Dener	25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)
23. Henrique (G)	33. Harada K.
33. Ligeiro	11. Leandrinho
	28. Medina L.
	18. Niello B.
	12. Puigvert

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Rivera (G),
8', Ligeiro (G),
9', Medina L. (G),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
39', Bebe (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 3.

ElPozo Murcia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santa Coloma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, ElPozo Murcia is the clear favorite.

We predict that ElPozo Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 74:55. (average 3.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, ElPozo Murcia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 40:26. (average 4.4:2.9).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	ElPozo Murcia	6	3	1	2	24:22	10
14	Ind. Santa Coloma	5	0	2	3	9:17	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ElPozo Murcia
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.12.25	ElPozo Murcia - Barcelona Alusport	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Valdepeñas - ElPozo Murcia	3:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	El Ejido - ElPozo Murcia	2:5 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
02.12.25	Cartagena - ElPozo Murcia	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	ElPozo Murcia - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWT
- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.12.25	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	4:3 ✺
14.12.25	Barcelona Alusport - Santa Coloma	5:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
10.12.25	Santa Coloma - Barcelona Alusport	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.12.25	Santa Coloma - Palma Futsal	5:6 ✺
28.11.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.09.25	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:3
08.02.25	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:2
15.11.24	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	5:3
03.05.24	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	8:5
01.12.23	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	3:2
05.05.23	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:1
11.12.22	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	4:1

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