Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 15

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Santa Coloma		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	5.6	6	1.35
	4.18	6.00	1.47	Watch
	5.77	5.7	1.33	Watch
	4	5.66	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.18)	5.84 ↓ (6)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Coloma
18.8%

Draw
15.7%

Cartagena
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

15.3%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

14.9%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Santa Coloma - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Joao Frezzato (G)	22. Chispi (G)
17. Corso S.	7. Castejon G.
33. Harada K.	10. Cortes F.
11. Leandrinho	9. Gonzalez P.
3. Tolra M.	8. Tomaz F.
Substitutes
24. Aldoma A.	1. Chemi (G)
20. Dalmau N. (C)	23. Gil D.
25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)	3. Juninho
30. Leguizamon M.	13. Mellado M. (C)
28. Medina L.	14. Motta G.
18. Niello B.	20. Osamanmusa M.
12. Puigvert	11. Waltinho
10. Ramos V.
4. Santos U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Cortes F. (G),
14', Mellado M. (G),
19', Mellado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
22', Leandrinho (G),
26', Puigvert (G),
30', Osamanmusa M. (G),
30', Harada K. 🟨,
32', Cortes F. 🟨,
37', Ramos V. (G),
38', Motta G. 🟨,
39', Waltinho 🟨,
40', Leandrinho (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 1.

Santa Coloma has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cartagena is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Cartagena has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cartagena is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cartagena will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 46:71. (average 2.6:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Coloma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 2.6:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
14.12.25	Barcelona Alusport - Santa Coloma	5:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
10.12.25	Santa Coloma - Barcelona Alusport	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.12.25	Santa Coloma - Palma Futsal	5:6 ✺
28.11.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma	7:3 ✺
22.11.25	Santa Coloma - Noia	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Futsal Cartagena
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.12.25	Cartagena - Manzanares	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:4 OT ✺
UEFA Futsal Champions League
05.12.25	Cartagena - St. Andrews	5:1 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
02.12.25	Cartagena - ElPozo Murcia	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	O Parrulo - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.02.25	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	3:2
23.11.24	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	3:2
05.03.24	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	1:2
22.10.23	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	2:2
25.02.23	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	2:6
28.10.22	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	7:1
19.04.22	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	0:1

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