Match Info

CROATIA: HMNL - Round 11

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Square Dubrovnik		Aurelia

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.85	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	4.85 ↓ (5.3)	4.6 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Square Dubrovnik
61.8%

Draw
18.6%

Aurelia
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

17.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

16.7%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Square Dubrovnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Aurelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Square Dubrovnik than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurelia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Square Dubrovnik - Aurelia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Aurelia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Square is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Square won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MNK Square Dubrovnik
Croatian 1 HMNL
11.01.25	Square Dubrovnik - Osijek	3:5 ✺
05.01.25	Square Dubrovnik - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Pula - Square Dubrovnik	2:4 ✺
20.12.24	Square Dubrovnik - Olmissum	3:5 ✺
07.12.24	Futsal Dinamo - Square Dubrovnik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWLL
- Aurelia Futsal
Croatian 1 HMNL
11.01.25	Aurelia - Futsal Dinamo	0:5 ✺
28.12.24	Aurelia - Crnica	3:7 ✺
21.12.24	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Aurelia	6:1 ✺
06.12.24	Aurelia - Rijeka	4:2 ✺
22.11.24	Pula - Aurelia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
02.11.24	Aurelia - Square Dubrovnik	1:1

Square Dubrovnik - Aurelia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide