Match Info

HMNL - Round 9

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Square Dubrovnik		Novo Vrijeme Makarska

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.8	1.62
	2.40	5.10	2.11	Watch
	3.72	4.7	1.62
	3.25	5.33	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.4)	4.98 ↓ (5.1)	1.74 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Square Dubrovnik
28.2%

Draw
18.6%

Novo Vrijeme Makarska
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

18%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Square Dubrovnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Square Dubrovnik's form might have worsened.

Novo Vrijeme Makarska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novo Vrijeme Makarska's recent form is better than expected.

Square Dubrovnik - Novo Vrijeme Makarska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Square won 2.

Novo Vrijeme has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Square won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:38. (average 2.6:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Square won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 2.8:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MNK Square Dubrovnik
Croatian 1 HMNL
12.12.25	Torcida Split - Square Dubrovnik	5:2 ✺
29.11.25	Rijeka - Square Dubrovnik	9:6 ✺
23.11.25	Square Dubrovnik - Pula	4:2 ✺
16.11.25	Vrgorac - Square Dubrovnik	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Osijek - Square Dubrovnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWTT
- Novo Vrijeme Makarska
Croatian 1 HMNL
12.12.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Rijeka	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Pula - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Vrgorac	5:2 ✺
15.11.25	Olmissum - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Osijek	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
04.04.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Square Dubrovnik	4:6
05.01.25	Square Dubrovnik - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	1:2
15.03.24	Square Dubrovnik - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	3:2
10.12.23	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Square Dubrovnik	4:4
17.03.23	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Square Dubrovnik	3:1
02.12.22	Square Dubrovnik - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	4:5
02.04.22	Square Dubrovnik - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	5:4

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