Match Info

Championship

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Tulpar Karagandy		Astana

	1	X	2
	2.28	4.57	2.28	Watch
	2.26	4.45	2.26
	2.33	4.33	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)	4.45 ↓ (4.57)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulpar Karagandy
39.8%

Draw
20.5%

Astana
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

20%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulpar Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulpar Karagandy than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulpar Karagandy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulpar won 1.

Tulpar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Astana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Astana has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tulpar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 2.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tulpar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 4.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Tulpar	6	1	1	4	8:18	4
11	Astana	2	0	0	2	2:10	0

Last Results with these Odds

Astana - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tulpar Karagandy
Kazakh Championship Futsal
03.04.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Astana	9:5 ✺
29.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Tulpar Karagandy	4:3 ✺
28.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Tulpar Karagandy	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty	1:12 ✺
21.03.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLL
- MFC Astana
Kazakh Championship Futsal
03.04.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Astana	9:5 ✺
29.03.26	Astana - Jetisu Taldykorgan	4:2 ✺
28.03.26	Astana - Jetisu Taldykorgan	7:2 ✺
16.03.26	Astana - Shymkent	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Astana - Shymkent	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Championship Futsal
03.04.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Astana	9:5
11.10.25	Astana - Tulpar Karagandy	4:2
10.10.25	Astana - Tulpar Karagandy	4:3
29.12.24	Astana - Tulpar Karagandy	5:2
28.12.24	Astana - Tulpar Karagandy	2:0

Tulpar Karagandy - Astana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide