Match Info

Championship

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Tulpar Karagandy		Kairat Almaty

	1	X	2
	5.66	6.07	1.33	Watch
	8.7	8.9	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (5.66)	7.49 ↑ (6.07)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulpar Karagandy
12.8%

Draw
12.3%

Kairat Almaty
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

15.1%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

17.1%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulpar Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Kairat Almaty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kairat Almaty's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulpar Karagandy than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulpar Karagandy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat Almaty than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kairat Almaty, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 7)
2nd Half (0 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulpar won 1.

In recent matches, Tulpar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kairat is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tulpar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kairat has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kairat is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulpar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:33. (average 0.6:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tulpar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.8:4.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Kairat Almaty	8	5	1	2	33:22	16
9	Tulpar	6	1	1	4	8:18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tulpar Karagandy
Kazakh Championship Futsal
21.03.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Semey - Tulpar Karagandy	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Aktobe - Tulpar Karagandy	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Ayat	5:3 ✺
19.02.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Ayat	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLWW
- Kairat Almaty Futsal
Kazakh Championship Futsal
21.03.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Kairat Almaty - Jetisu Taldykorgan	12:3 ✺
11.03.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Kairat Almaty	3:4 ✺
10.03.26	Baiterek Uralsk - Kairat Almaty	0:5 ✺
UEFA Futsal Champions League
06.03.26	Cartagena - Kairat Almaty	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Championship Futsal
21.03.26	Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty	2:3
07.11.25	Kairat Almaty - Tulpar Karagandy	5:0
06.11.25	Kairat Almaty - Tulpar Karagandy	3:0
22.05.25	Kairat Almaty - Tulpar Karagandy	1:2
21.05.25	Kairat Almaty - Tulpar Karagandy	6:0
18.10.24	Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty	0:2
17.10.24	Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty	0:6

Tulpar Karagandy - Kairat Almaty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide