Match Info

SuperLiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Ukhta		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.55	5.45	3.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	5.45 (5.45)	3.91 (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukhta
59.5%

Draw
16.9%

Norilsk
23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

19.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ukhta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Norilsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ukhta than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ukhta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ukhta - Norilsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Ukhta will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', (G),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ukhta won 2.

Ukhta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norilsky Nickel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ukhta is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Ukhta will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ukhta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 88:86. (average 4.4:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ukhta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 49:43. (average 4.5:3.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Norilsk	14	7	1	1	5	54:52	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Ukhta
Russian Super Liga Futsal
15.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3 ✺
11.05.26	Ukhta - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	7:2 ✺
07.05.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Ukhta	4:5 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Ukhta	4:6 ✺
02.05.26	Ukhta - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- FK Norilsk
Russian Super Liga Futsal
15.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3 ✺
11.05.26	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Norilsk	3:4 ✺
07.05.26	Norilsk - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Norilsk - TTG-Yugra Yugorsk	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - Norilsk	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
15.05.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	8:3
Russian Cup Futsal
20.01.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	8:3
Russian Super Liga Futsal
16.01.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	7:3
15.01.26	Norilsk - Ukhta	2:3
Russian Cup Futsal
06.01.26	Ukhta - Norilsk	2:2
Russian Super Liga Futsal
06.09.25	Ukhta - Norilsk	5:4
05.09.25	Ukhta - Norilsk	2:6

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