Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Unión África Ceutí		Castell de Peñiscola

	1	X	2
	4	6	1.44
	3.75	5.5	1.4
	3.9	6	1.45
	4	6	1.44
	4.45	6.4	1.38
	4.2	6.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.15)	6.02 ↓ (6.2)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión África Ceutí
22.2%

Draw
14.9%

Castell de Peñiscola
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

14.6%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

13.8%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión África Ceutí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión África Ceutí than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Unión África Ceutí - Castell de Peñiscola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Preview

Recent matches Ceutí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peñiscola has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Peñiscola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Peñiscola is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ceutí to win the game is with odds 4.08.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ceutí won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceutí won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión África Ceutí
Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
18.11.23	Levante UD DM - Unión África Ceutí	2:4 ✺
11.11.23	Unión África Ceutí - Martorell	5:3 ✺
04.11.23	Atlético Mengíbar - Unión África Ceutí	2:4 ✺
28.10.23	Unión África Ceutí - Burela Pescados Rubén	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ibiza - Unión África Ceutí	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.11.23	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Castell de Peñiscola	3:2 ✺
15.11.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena	2:7 ✺
11.11.23	ElPozo Murcia - Castell de Peñiscola	4:4 ✺
08.11.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Palma Futsal	4:5 ✺
04.11.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Inter	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
25.03.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Unión África Ceutí	6:2
12.11.22	Unión África Ceutí - Castell de Peñiscola	2:3
26.02.22	Unión África Ceutí - Castell de Peñiscola	2:2
23.10.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Unión África Ceutí	4:3

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