Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Valdepeñas		ElPozo Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.95	4.4	1.91
	2.79	5.30	1.82	Watch
	2.92	4.3	1.9	Watch
	2.75	5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.79)	4.75 ↓ (5.3)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valdepeñas
31.9%

Draw
19.2%

ElPozo Murcia
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

17.2%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

18.6%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valdepeñas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ElPozo Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ElPozo Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ElPozo Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups


10. Alex	7. Alex Garcia
5. Boyis	16. Alvarez D.
7. Carrasco	29. Cesar
6. Garcia A.	77. Dener
99. Gustavao	19. Edu
18. Joao	31. Gadeia
2. Jose Mario	23. Henrique
27. Lucas Cezar	33. Ligeiro
9. Manzanares A.	11. Marcel
61. Mateus Torres	9. Rafa Santos
16. Naranjo A.	10. Ricardinho
1. Puerta B.	8. Ricardo
29. Vandeson	17. Rivera

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Gadeia (G),
12', Dener (G),
13', Garcia A. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
30', Alex Garcia (G),
32', Rafa Santos (G),
33', Boyis (G),
39', Rivera (G),
40', Joao (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Valdepeñas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, ElPozo Murcia has had a series of away games.

ElPozo Murcia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 64:72. (average 3.2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valdepeñas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 3:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Valdepeñas - Alzira	4:0 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
06.12.25	Inter - Valdepeñas	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	3:4 ✺
15.11.25	Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW
- ElPozo Murcia
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	El Ejido - ElPozo Murcia	2:5 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
02.12.25	Cartagena - ElPozo Murcia	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	ElPozo Murcia - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
25.11.25	Martorell - ElPozo Murcia	2:4 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
22.11.25	Palma Futsal - ElPozo Murcia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
21.02.25	ElPozo Murcia - Valdepeñas	5:3
09.11.24	Valdepeñas - ElPozo Murcia	1:3
30.05.24	ElPozo Murcia - Valdepeñas	2:1 penalties
27.05.24	Valdepeñas - ElPozo Murcia	2:3 OT
24.05.24	ElPozo Murcia - Valdepeñas	3:4 penalties
05.03.24	ElPozo Murcia - Valdepeñas	1:1
20.10.23	Valdepeñas - ElPozo Murcia	5:5

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