Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 21

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Valdepeñas		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.5	2.02
	2.76	4.27	2.04	Watch
	2.7	4.25	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.55)	4.34 ↓ (5)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valdepeñas
33.7%

Draw
21.1%

Cartagena
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

18.3%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

21.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valdepeñas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valdepeñas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Pato (G)	1. Chemi (G)
5. Boyis (C)	7. Castejon G.
7. Carrasco	10. Cortes F.
61. Mateus Torres	9. Gonzalez P.
16. Naranjo A.	8. Tomaz F.
Substitutes
10. Alex	22. Chispi (G)
6. Garcia A.	23. Gil D.
18. Joao	19. Izquierdo J. (C)
2. Jose Mario	3. Juninho
9. Nicolas M.	5. Lucas Farias
1. Puerta B. (G)	13. Mellado M.
30. Ribeiro	14. Motta G.
15. Sinesio	20. Osamanmusa M.
19. Yanez D.	11. Waltinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
24', Gil D. (G),
27', Waltinho (G),
28', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
31', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Valdepeñas has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 47:43. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Valdepeñas won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 28:16. (average 3.5:2).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	FS Valdepenas	5	2	2	1	9:9	8
12	Cartagena	5	1	1	3	9:19	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.03.26	Valdepeñas - Noia	3:2 ✺
Spanish Cup Futsal
20.03.26	Barcelona Alusport - Valdepeñas	7:1 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
14.03.26	Ribera Navarra - Valdepeñas	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	O Parrulo - Valdepeñas	4:4 ✺
22.02.26	Alzira - Valdepeñas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTL
- Futsal Cartagena
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.03.26	Cartagena - Inter	4:2 ✺
Spanish Cup Futsal
19.03.26	Inter - Cartagena	8:3 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
14.03.26	Barcelona Alusport - Cartagena	6:2 ✺
UEFA Futsal Champions League
06.03.26	Cartagena - Kairat Almaty	7:4 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.02.26	Cartagena - Jaén Paraíso Interior	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
19.11.25	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	3:4
28.03.25	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	2:1
11.10.24	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	1:2
11.05.24	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	6:6
09.12.23	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	3:1
22.04.23	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	5:2
03.12.22	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	5:2

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