Match Info

HMNL - Round 10

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Vrgorac		Olmissum

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.7	1.63
	3.32	5.33	1.67	Watch
	3.73	4.6	1.63
	3.6	5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.32)	4.91 ↓ (5.33)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vrgorac
25.3%

Draw
18.6%

Olmissum
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

17.3%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

16.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vrgorac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Olmissum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrgorac than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olmissum than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Vrgorac - Olmissum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vrgorac won 2.

Recent form of Vrgorac has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Olmissum is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Olmissum is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vrgorac won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.9:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vrgorac won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Olmissum	3	2	1	0	14:6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HMNK Vrgorac
Croatian 1 HMNL
27.12.25	Vrgorac - Osijek	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Crnica - Vrgorac	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Vrgorac - Futsal Dinamo	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Vrgorac	5:2 ✺
16.11.25	Vrgorac - Square Dubrovnik	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLT
- MNK Olmissum
Croatian 1 HMNL
27.12.25	Olmissum - Torcida Split	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Osijek - Olmissum	3:5 ✺
29.11.25	Olmissum - Crnica	4:2 ✺
21.11.25	Futsal Dinamo - Olmissum	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Olmissum - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
03.10.25	Olmissum - Vrgorac	3:2
15.03.24	Olmissum - Vrgorac	3:5
09.12.23	Vrgorac - Olmissum	1:3
18.03.23	Olmissum - Vrgorac	1:2
02.12.22	Vrgorac - Olmissum	3:3
30.04.22	Vrgorac - Olmissum	2:3
22.04.22	Olmissum - Vrgorac	2:1

Vrgorac - Olmissum: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide