Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 9

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		Quabit Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	1.3	10	5	Watch
	1.29	11	4.3
	1.3	11.5	4.43	Watch
	1.3	11	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	10.88 ↑ (9.7)	4.62 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
71.4%

Draw
8.5%

Quabit Guadalajara
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.3%

9.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

10.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Quabit Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quabit Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quabit Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Quabit Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 1.

Puente Genil has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guadalajara's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Puente Genil is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 553:554. (average 27.7:27.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Puente Genil won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 255:237. (average 28.3:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.11.25	Barcelona - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	41:29 ✺
24.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Huesca	37:36 ✺
19.10.25	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	24:30 ✺
10.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar	26:33 ✺
05.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Ciudad Encantada	22:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW
- Quabit Guadalajara
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.11.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Caserio Ciudad Real	28:30 ✺
25.10.25	Bidasoa Irun - Quabit Guadalajara	34:31 ✺
17.10.25	Quabit Guadalajara - BM Granollers	29:32 ✺
11.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Quabit Guadalajara	29:34 ✺
05.10.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	27:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Hanbdall
16.08.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	34:34
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.03.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:25
11.10.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Quabit Guadalajara	28:31
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
15.03.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	30:29
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.03.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Quabit Guadalajara	31:29
01.10.22	Quabit Guadalajara - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:28
25.04.21	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Quabit Guadalajara	28:26

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
31.10.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Villa de Aranda	✺
- Quabit Guadalajara
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.11.26	Quabit Guadalajara - Zamora	✺

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Quabit Guadalajara