Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 12

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.55	8.5	2.95
	1.59	8.55	3
	1.55	8.4	3.04
	1.57	8.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	8.56 ↓ (8.6)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga
58.9%

Draw
10.8%

Villa de Aranda
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

10.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

11.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24

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Preview

Malaga is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villa de Aranda is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Malaga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Malaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 78-85.

Including matches at home between the teams Malaga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 49-60.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
02.12.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	27:23 ✺
25.11.23	Zamora - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	29:29 ✺
18.11.23	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Agustinos Alicante	24:24 ✺
11.11.23	Cisne - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	20:20 ✺
28.10.23	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Barcelona II	31:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTTL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
02.12.23	Villa de Aranda - Zamora	32:22 ✺
25.11.23	Agustinos Alicante - Villa de Aranda	24:25 ✺
18.11.23	Villa de Aranda - Cisne	17:25 ✺
11.11.23	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	25:21 ✺
28.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
20.05.23	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Villa de Aranda	26:35
15.04.23	Villa de Aranda - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	25:29
11.01.20	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Villa de Aranda	23:25

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