Match Info

PORTUGAL: Andebol 1 - Round 18

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday


	Belenenses		Madeira

	1	X	2
	3.25	9.5	1.45
	3.25	8.8	1.47
	3.08	8.79	1.54
	3.25	9	1.44
	3.1	8.4	1.55
	3.25	8.8	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.03)	8.88 ↑ (8.58)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
28.5%

Draw
10.3%

Madeira
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

10.6%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

10.5%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Belenenses - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1.

Recent matches Belenenses is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Madeira is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Madeira is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Madeira to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 556:576 (average 27.8:28.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 259:261 (average 28.8:29).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belenenses Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
14.12.24	ABC Braga - Belenenses	34:29 ✺
11.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Belenenses	36:18 ✺
07.12.24	Belenenses - Avanca	33:30 ✺
30.11.24	Águas Santas - Belenenses	26:27 ✺
23.11.24	Belenenses - Nazaré	25:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWT
- Madeira Andebol SAD
Portuguese Andebol 1
15.12.24	Madeira - Avanca	36:23 ✺
11.12.24	Águas Santas - Madeira	27:26 ✺
07.12.24	Madeira - Nazaré	33:25 ✺
30.11.24	Póvoa - Madeira	26:33 ✺
23.11.24	Madeira - Sporting da Horta	30:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
05.10.24	Madeira - Belenenses	33:27
05.05.24	Belenenses - Madeira	31:30
01.05.24	Madeira - Belenenses	32:29
13.12.23	Madeira - Belenenses	32:25
30.09.23	Belenenses - Madeira	29:34
11.02.23	Belenenses - Madeira	26:25
17.09.22	Madeira - Belenenses	22:22

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