Match Info

Date: 16 November 2021, Tuesday


	Bidasoa Irun		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.72	8	2.7	Watch
	1.8	8.5	2.45
	1.79	8	2.5
	1.72	8.2	2.46
	1.72	8	2.5
	1.76	8	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.99)	8.12 ↑ (7.68)	2.55 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidasoa Irun
52.6%

Draw
11.3%

Fenix Toulouse
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

11.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

10.6%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidasoa Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bidasoa Irun's performance.

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenix Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bidasoa Irun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenix Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Bidasoa Irun - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bidasoa will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bidasoa: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Bidasoa in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Toulouse Union is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toulouse Union could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bidasoa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Bidasoa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bidasoa Irun
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.11.21	BM Granollers - Bidasoa Irun	28:34 ✺
10.11.21	Bidasoa Irun - BM Ciudad Encantada	38:32 ✺
30.10.21	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Bidasoa Irun	29:36 ✺
EHF European League
26.10.21	Bidasoa Irun - Pfadi Winterthur	32:28 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.10.21	Nava - Bidasoa Irun	25:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
12.11.21	Cesson Rennes Métropole - Fenix Toulouse	27:27 ✺
French Coupe de la Ligue Handball
10.11.21	Fenix Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain	25:39 ✺
French Starligue Handball
29.10.21	Fenix Toulouse - Saint-Raphael	29:28 ✺
EHF European League
26.10.21	Wisła Płock - Fenix Toulouse	33:29 ✺
French Starligue Handball
23.10.21	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWLW

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