Match Info

Starligue - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 5


	USAM Nimes		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.7	8	2.9
	1.65	8.2	2.7
	1.67	7.69	2.75	Watch
	1.62	8	2.63
	1.67	8.9	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	8.16 ↓ (8.7)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

USAM Nimes
55.2%

Draw
11.2%

Fenix Toulouse
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

10.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

10.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USAM Nimes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fenix Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USAM Nimes than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nimes won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Nimes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nimes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nimes won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 619:618. (average 31:30.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nimes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 301:288. (average 33.4:32).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Nimes	5	4	0	1	161:159	8
13	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140:141	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USAM Nimes
French Starligue Handball
19.04.26	Istres OPH - USAM Nimes	27:36 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
15.04.26	USAM Nimes - HBC Nantes	30:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
10.04.26	USAM Nimes - Pays dAix	35:37 ✺
03.04.26	Dijon - USAM Nimes	28:25 ✺
27.03.26	USAM Nimes - Paris Saint-Germain	33:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
17.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - Dijon	27:24 ✺
12.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	25:30 ✺
03.04.26	Chartres - Fenix Toulouse	33:32 ✺
27.03.26	Fenix Toulouse - Limoges	31:37 ✺
15.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Fenix Toulouse	39:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
20.12.25	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	27:22
21.02.25	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	25:25
30.11.24	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	36:29
08.03.24	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	38:28
09.12.23	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	34:27
02.04.23	Fenix Toulouse - USAM Nimes	32:34
11.12.22	USAM Nimes - Fenix Toulouse	37:38

Upcoming Matches