Match Info

European League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Polideportivo Artaleku (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Bidasoa Irun		MT Melsungen

	1	X	2
	2.55	8	1.78	Watch
	2.4	8.75	1.83
	2.05	7.8	2.06	Watch
	2.05	8.2	2.16	Watch
	1.95	8	2.15
	2.77	8.2	1.69	Watch
	2.05	7.8	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.55)	8.11 ↑ (8)	1.96 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidasoa Irun
41.1%

Draw
11.5%

MT Melsungen
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

11.3%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

11.1%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidasoa Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bidasoa Irun's performance.

MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MT Melsungen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bidasoa Irun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MT Melsungen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Bidasoa Irun - MT Melsungen Predictions

Users Predictions: MT Melsungen will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): MT Melsungen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Lineups


20. Boskos T.	21. Arnarsson A.
23. Carceller A.	6. Balenciaga E.
2. Cavero I.	83. Barrufet I.
28. Da Silva M. F.	23. Biescas M.
10. Furundarena E.	24. Cavalcanti A.
9. Gey-Emparan T.	4. Enderleit N.
4. Jevtic M.	11. Ignatow D.
40. Maciel L.	19. Jonsson E.
19. Mugica J.	73. Kastening T.
39. Nieto A.	10. Kristopans D.
31. Nieto G.	80. Lichtlein C.
32. Rivera D.	7. Mandic D.
11. Salinas E.	13. Moraes R.
17. Salinas R.	1. Morawski A.
33. Skrzyniarz J.	8. Sipos A.
8. Zabala M.	28. Svensson J.

Preview

1st leg result: 27-28. 2nd leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Bidasoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bidasoa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27:28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bidasoa Irun
EHF European League
22.04.25	MT Melsungen - Bidasoa Irun	28:27 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.04.25	Bidasoa Irun - BM Granollers	30:28 ✺
15.04.25	Benidorm - Bidasoa Irun	27:27 ✺
12.04.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Bidasoa Irun	29:35 ✺
04.04.25	Bidasoa Irun - Nava	37:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWW
- MT Melsungen
German Bundesliga Handball
26.04.25	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	25:31 ✺
EHF European League
22.04.25	MT Melsungen - Bidasoa Irun	28:27 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
19.04.25	MT Melsungen - Gummersbach	26:25 ✺
German DHB Pokal
13.04.25	THW Kiel - MT Melsungen	28:23 ✺
12.04.25	MT Melsungen - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
22.04.25	MT Melsungen - Bidasoa Irun	28:27

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