Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Erlangen		SC DHfK Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.57	8	3.3
	1.6	8	2.85
	1.67	7.61	2.75	Watch
	1.57	7.5	2.88
	1.66	8.8	2.72	Watch
	1.62	9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.61)	8.15 ↑ (7.87)	2.92 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlangen
57.1%

Draw
11.3%

SC DHfK Leipzig
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

11.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

12.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Erlangen will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 1.

Erlangen has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leipzig's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Erlangen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 438:450. (average 24.3:25).

Including home matches between the teams, Erlangen won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 241:216. (average 26.8:24).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
10.12.25	GWD Minden - Erlangen	30:29 ✺
06.12.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Erlangen	35:27 ✺
28.11.25	Erlangen - Stuttgart	24:24 ✺
23.11.25	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	34:26 ✺
16.11.25	Erlangen - TBV Lemgo	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- SC DHfK Leipzig Handball
German Bundesliga Handball
10.12.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - HSV Hamburg	29:27 ✺
07.12.25	Stuttgart - SC DHfK Leipzig	33:32 ✺
30.11.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - Hannover-Burgdorf	27:27 ✺
22.11.25	Gummersbach - SC DHfK Leipzig	34:27 ✺
14.11.25	GWD Minden - SC DHfK Leipzig	32:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
15.05.25	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	23:25
14.10.24	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	32:25
21.04.24	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	26:29
03.12.23	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	20:19
23.03.23	Erlangen - SC DHfK Leipzig	36:32
22.09.22	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	32:29
28.12.21	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	24:16

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