Match Info

HLA - Round 18

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Ferlach		Bregenz

	1	X	2
	1.5	9.4	3.05
	1.51	7.75	3.25	Watch
	1.5	8.5	3
	1.57	9.1	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	8.69 ↑ (7.47)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferlach
59.8%

Draw
10.5%

Bregenz
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

11.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

12.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferlach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bregenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bregenz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Ferlach - Bregenz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Ferlach is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 496:567. (average 26.1:29.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferlach won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 238:262. (average 26.4:29.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150:137	8
6	Bregenz	5	2	1	2	161:152	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Ferlach
Austrian NLA Handball
07.03.26	HSG Graz - Ferlach	32:29 ✺
04.03.26	Ferlach - Tirol	29:31 ✺
28.02.26	Krems - Ferlach	33:23 ✺
21.02.26	Hollabrunn - Ferlach	30:24 ✺
14.02.26	Ferlach - Alpla Hard	33:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLW
- Bregenz Handball
Austrian NLA Handball
07.03.26	Bregenz - Alpla Hard	30:35 ✺
04.03.26	Füchse - Bregenz	32:28 ✺
28.02.26	Bregenz - Bärnbach Köflach	28:25 ✺
21.02.26	Linz - Bregenz	35:33 ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
17.02.26	Bregenz - Vöslauer	27:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
25.10.25	Bregenz - Ferlach	29:27
15.02.25	Bregenz - Ferlach	36:29
28.09.24	Ferlach - Bregenz	29:29
09.12.23	Ferlach - Bregenz	32:32
02.09.23	Bregenz - Ferlach	30:27
25.02.23	Ferlach - Bregenz	28:30
22.10.22	Bregenz - Ferlach	36:27

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