Match Info

HLA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Krems		Ferlach

	1	X	2
	1.3	12.5	4.25
	1.28	11	4.4
	1.28	8.68	4.99	Watch
	1.25	10	4.33
	1.29	10.7	4.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	10.58 ↑ (8.72)	4.51 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krems
71.2%

Draw
8.6%

Ferlach
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

10.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

10%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krems has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krems's performance.

Ferlach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferlach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krems than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Krems - Ferlach Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Krems will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Preview

Ferlach leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krems won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Krems may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Krems is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krems won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 655:552. (average 32.8:27.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Krems won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 331:266. (average 33.1:26.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150:137	8
11	Krems	5	1	0	4	145:158	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UHK Krems
Austrian NLA Handball
02.05.26	Ferlach - Krems	46:45 OT ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
25.04.26	Alpla Hard - Krems	21:24 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
18.04.26	Krems - Linz	31:29 ✺
15.04.26	Fivers Margareten - Krems	31:26 ✺
11.04.26	Krems - Vöslauer	29:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL
- SC Ferlach
Austrian NLA Handball
02.05.26	Ferlach - Krems	46:45 OT ✺
18.04.26	Ferlach - Bärnbach Köflach	26:26 ✺
15.04.26	Linz - Ferlach	34:25 ✺
11.04.26	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	33:31 ✺
28.03.26	Vöslauer - Ferlach	29:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
02.05.26	Ferlach - Krems	46:45 OT
28.02.26	Krems - Ferlach	33:23
27.09.25	Ferlach - Krems	28:26
08.02.25	Ferlach - Krems	32:37
21.09.24	Krems - Ferlach	39:33
13.04.24	Krems - Ferlach	36:29
29.11.23	Ferlach - Krems	23:26

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