Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Gorenje Velenje		BM Ciudad Encantada

	1	X	2
	1.32	9	4	Watch
	1.4	11	3.7
	1.36	9.65	4.11	Watch
	1.33	9	3.8
	1.39	9.7	3.94
	1.36	9.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	9.69 ↑ (8.29)	3.93 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorenje Velenje
67.3%

Draw
9.4%

BM Ciudad Encantada
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

10.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

10.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorenje Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gorenje Velenje's performance.

BM Ciudad Encantada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorenje Velenje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Ciudad Encantada than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gorenje Velenje - BM Ciudad Encantada Predictions

Users Predictions: Gorenje Velenje will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

Gorenje Velenje is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ciudad Encantada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ciudad Encantada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gorenje Velenje is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
11.11.23	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	25:25 ✺
28.10.23	Gorenje Velenje - Dobova	36:24 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Sävehof - Gorenje Velenje	36:34 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
21.10.23	Gorenje Velenje - RK Koper	27:26 ✺
EHF European League
17.10.23	Gorenje Velenje - Pfadi Winterthur	34:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWW
- BM Ciudad Encantada
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
11.11.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Ciudad Encantada	30:25 ✺
08.11.23	BM Ciudad Encantada - Morrazo Cangas	33:28 ✺
28.10.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Ciudad Encantada	30:34 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Pfadi Winterthur - BM Ciudad Encantada	32:28 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.10.23	BM Ciudad Encantada - Reale Ademar	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

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