Match Info

HLA - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	HSG Graz		Hollabrunn

	1	X	2
	1.4	10	3.75
	1.45	8	3.5
	1.41	8.02	3.8	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.5
	1.44	9.6	3.49	Watch
	1.55	8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	8.69 ↑ (8)	3.53 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Graz
63.5%

Draw
10.5%

Hollabrunn
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

11.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

11.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Hollabrunn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HSG Graz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hollabrunn than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

HSG Graz - Hollabrunn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 1.

HSG Graz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hollabrunn has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, HSG Graz is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 180:198. (average 25.7:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, HSG Graz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 76:74. (average 25.3:24.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163:166	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
09.05.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	33:29 ✺
05.05.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	27:23 ✺
02.05.26	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	23:21 ✺
18.04.26	HSG Graz - Vöslauer	35:39 ✺
15.04.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- UHC Hollabrunn
Austrian NLA Handball
09.05.26	Tirol - Hollabrunn	36:28 ✺
05.05.26	Bregenz - Hollabrunn	33:34 ✺
02.05.26	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	23:21 ✺
18.04.26	Hollabrunn - Bregenz	36:40 ✺
15.04.26	Füchse - Hollabrunn	33:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
02.05.26	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	23:21
11.04.26	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	26:25
15.11.25	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	37:28
25.05.24	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	33:29
30.04.24	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	21:26
06.04.24	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	31:26
25.11.23	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	29:23

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