Match Info

HLA - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Hollabrunn		HSG Graz

	1	X	2
	2.37	7.6	1.83
	2.48	6.91	1.82	Watch
	2.38	7.5	1.8
	2.32	8	1.87	Watch
	2.3	8	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.44)	7.6 ↑ (6.84)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hollabrunn
38.3%

Draw
11.9%

HSG Graz
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

13%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

12.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hollabrunn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

HSG Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hollabrunn than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Hollabrunn - HSG Graz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hollabrunn won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hollabrunn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 175:159. (average 29.2:26.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hollabrunn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 101:83. (average 33.7:27.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163:166	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UHC Hollabrunn
Austrian NLA Handball
18.04.26	Hollabrunn - Bregenz	36:40 ✺
15.04.26	Füchse - Hollabrunn	33:27 ✺
11.04.26	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	26:25 ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
03.04.26	Fivers Margareten - Hollabrunn	37:41 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
28.03.26	Hollabrunn - Bärnbach Köflach	36:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLLWW
- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
18.04.26	HSG Graz - Vöslauer	35:39 ✺
15.04.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	37:28 ✺
11.04.26	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	26:25 ✺
27.03.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	29:28 ✺
14.03.26	Krems - HSG Graz	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
11.04.26	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	26:25
15.11.25	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	37:28
25.05.24	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	33:29
30.04.24	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	21:26
06.04.24	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	31:26
25.11.23	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	29:23

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