Match Info

HLA - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Bregenz		HSG Graz

	1	X	2
	1.53	9.4	2.95
	1.51	7.69	3.28	Watch
	1.5	8.5	3
	1.55	9.3	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	8.72 ↑ (7.42)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bregenz
59.8%

Draw
10.4%

HSG Graz
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

12%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

11.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bregenz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

HSG Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bregenz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bregenz - HSG Graz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bregenz won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

HSG Graz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bregenz is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bregenz won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 609:569. (average 30.5:28.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bregenz won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 312:286. (average 31.2:28.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163:166	6
6	Bregenz	5	2	1	2	161:152	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bregenz Handball
Austrian NLA Handball
05.05.26	Bregenz - Hollabrunn	33:34 ✺
01.05.26	Tirol - Bregenz	39:36 ✺
18.04.26	Hollabrunn - Bregenz	36:40 ✺
15.04.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	37:28 ✺
11.04.26	Tirol - Bregenz	31:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWT
- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
05.05.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	27:23 ✺
02.05.26	Hollabrunn - HSG Graz	23:21 ✺
18.04.26	HSG Graz - Vöslauer	35:39 ✺
15.04.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	37:28 ✺
11.04.26	HSG Graz - Hollabrunn	26:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
15.04.26	Bregenz - HSG Graz	37:28
22.11.25	HSG Graz - Bregenz	33:29
06.12.24	Bregenz - HSG Graz	33:29
31.08.24	HSG Graz - Bregenz	31:35
27.02.24	HSG Graz - Bregenz	33:28
Austrian OHB Cup
20.02.24	Bregenz - HSG Graz	34:44
Austrian NLA Handball
10.10.23	Bregenz - HSG Graz	34:25

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