Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 14

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Varberg		Lugi

	1	X	2
	1.86	8.2	2.38
	1.87	6.94	2.38	Watch
	1.8	8	2.25
	1.86	8.7	2.31
	1.76	8.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	8.07 ↑ (8)	2.34 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varberg
49.7%

Draw
11.3%

Lugi
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

11.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

10.3%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lugi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varberg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Varberg - Lugi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lugi will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugi: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Lugi (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 58 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lugi will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugi (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 1.

Varberg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lugi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lugi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 202:232. (average 25.3:29).

Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 106:117. (average 26.5:29.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Varberg
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
26.12.25	Lugi - Varberg	26:23 ✺
17.12.25	Tumba - Varberg	28:33 ✺
10.12.25	Varberg - Drott	42:24 ✺
05.12.25	Vinslovs - Varberg	24:35 ✺
26.11.25	Varberg - Tumba	22:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL
- Lugi HF
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
26.12.25	Lugi - Varberg	26:23 ✺
14.12.25	Aranäs - Lugi	31:38 ✺
07.12.25	Lugi - Tyresö	44:27 ✺
29.11.25	IFK Ystad - Lugi	23:35 ✺
23.11.25	Lugi - Drott	38:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
26.12.25	Lugi - Varberg	26:23
15.02.25	Varberg - Lugi	31:31
25.11.24	Lugi - Varberg	23:27
Swedish Elitserien Handball
02.02.21	Varberg - Lugi	29:32
24.10.20	Lugi - Varberg	37:22
06.03.20	Varberg - Lugi	25:26
01.11.19	Lugi - Varberg	29:24

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