Match Info

DENMARK: Herre Handbold Ligaen - Round 5

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Sydbank Arena (Kolding)


	KIF Kolding		Mors-Thy

	1	X	2
	2.15	8	2.1
	2.05	8	2.15
	2.05	7.6	2.16
	2.14	7.96	2.09
	2	7.5	2.1
	2.08	7.9	2.11
	2.05	7.6	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.61)	7.79 ↓ (8.22)	2.12 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KIF Kolding
44.6%

Draw
11.9%

Mors-Thy
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

11.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

12%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KIF Kolding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KIF Kolding's form might have worsened.

Mors-Thy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mors-Thy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KIF Kolding than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KIF Kolding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mors-Thy than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mors-Thy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

KIF Kolding - Mors Thy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. KIF Kolding will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Mors will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mors: 64.6% – 100%.

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Lineups


27. Bertelsen S. R.	17. Bull M.
12. Cavar J.	33. Didriksen K.
22. Frederik B.	7. Hald N.
13. Hedegaard M.	15. Hansen H.
20. Klinge D.	10. Knudsen M.
28. Leger L.	20. Larsen O.
9. Lyngso V.	4. Lindgren K.
10. Mailand M.	28. Madsen R.
29. Nevers V.	25. Norlyk M.
5. Norlyk O.	19. Norlyk V.
18. Pedersen B.	36. Overby S.
24. Silva D.	11. Pedersen L.
4. Skaarup L.	30. Rughave S.
21. Stoklund K.	21. Sorensen M. M.
1. Tellerup E.	23. Tilsted H.
2. Thomsen M.	9. Vestergaard K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KIF Kolding won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches KIF Kolding won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 544:556 (average 27.2:27.8).

Including matches at home between the teams KIF Kolding won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 248:252 (average 27.6:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KIF Kolding
Danish Handbold Ligaen
29.09.24	Fredericia - KIF Kolding	26:20 ✺
19.09.24	KIF Kolding - Ringsted	31:31 ✺
12.09.24	Ribe-Esbjerg - KIF Kolding	27:33 ✺
05.09.24	KIF Kolding - Nordsjælland	30:28 ✺
Danish Cup Handball
28.08.24	KIF Kolding - Bjerringbro SV	23:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWL
- Mors-Thy Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
29.09.24	Mors-Thy - Aalborg	35:34 ✺
20.09.24	Skjern - Mors-Thy	25:25 ✺
12.09.24	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	34:34 ✺
EHF European League
08.09.24	Gummersbach - Mors-Thy	39:30 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
04.09.24	Skanderborg - Mors-Thy	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
18.11.23	Mors-Thy - KIF Kolding	33:27
02.09.23	KIF Kolding - Mors-Thy	29:29
03.12.22	Mors-Thy - KIF Kolding	22:27
12.09.22	KIF Kolding - Mors-Thy	26:25
01.03.22	Mors-Thy - KIF Kolding	33:28
12.11.21	KIF Kolding - Mors-Thy	31:31
11.12.20	KIF Kolding - Mors-Thy	28:27

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