Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Kolstad		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.55	8.5	1.85	Watch
	2.3	11	1.83
	2.93	8.15	1.62	Watch
	2.6	7.5	1.67
	3.05	8.4	1.59	Watch
	2.7	7.8	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.54)	8.56 ↑ (8.2)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolstad
34.8%

Draw
10.9%

THW Kiel
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

11.3%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

11.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolstad than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Kolstad - THW Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kolstad will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Kiel will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kiel: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

Kolstad in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolstad IL
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
15.10.23	Kolstad - Viking TIF Bergen	36:25 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.10.23	Kolstad - Szeged	37:24 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
07.10.23	Elverum - Kolstad	27:32 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup Handball
04.10.23	Viking TIF Bergen - Kolstad	21:42 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
01.10.23	Kolstad - Kristiansand	33:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
14.10.23	SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel	35:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.10.23	THW Kiel - Vive Kielce	35:31 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
08.10.23	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	34:23 ✺
German DHB Pokal
03.10.23	THW Kiel - HSG Wetzlar	31:32 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
30.09.23	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLL

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