Match Info

HLA - Round 18

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Krems		HSG Graz

	1	X	2
	1.37	10	3.7
	1.36	8.2	4.14	Watch
	1.33	9	3.75
	1.39	9.8	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	9.25 ↑ (7.88)	3.84 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krems
66.6%

Draw
9.8%

HSG Graz
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

11.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

11.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krems has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

HSG Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krems than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Krems - HSG Graz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krems won 2.

Krems has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HSG Graz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Krems has had a series of away games.

In this match, Krems is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krems won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 614:555. (average 30.7:27.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Krems won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 275:252. (average 30.6:28).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163:166	6
11	Krems	5	1	0	4	145:158	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UHK Krems
Austrian NLA Handball
07.03.26	Tirol - Krems	37:35 ✺
04.03.26	Hollabrunn - Krems	30:29 ✺
28.02.26	Krems - Ferlach	33:23 ✺
20.02.26	Alpla Hard - Krems	35:32 ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
17.02.26	Union Korneuburg - Krems	24:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
07.03.26	HSG Graz - Ferlach	32:29 ✺
03.03.26	Alpla Hard - HSG Graz	26:26 ✺
28.02.26	HSG Graz - Füchse	30:36 ✺
21.02.26	Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz	30:29 ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
18.02.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	37:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
25.10.25	HSG Graz - Krems	30:30
01.03.25	Krems - HSG Graz	26:26
12.10.24	HSG Graz - Krems	27:28
24.02.24	Krems - HSG Graz	29:25
29.09.23	HSG Graz - Krems	37:31
25.03.23	HSG Graz - Krems	30:31
11.11.22	Krems - HSG Graz	32:29

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